Northern Ireland U19 vs Italy U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
63.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2003 |
LVA
1 - 0
NIR
39%
24%
37%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2003 |
GEO
1 - 1
NIR
48%
24%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2002 |
HUN
2 - 1
NIR
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2002 |
NIR
4 - 0
WAL
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
NIR
4 - 0
AND
56%
22%
22%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Italy U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2003 |
ITA
3 - 1
GEO
74%
16%
10%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2003 |
ITA
4 - 1
LVA
76%
15%
9%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
SVK
1 - 2
ITA
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2002 |
ITA
3 - 1
LTU
66%
19%
15%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
ITA
4 - 1
ARM
75%
16%
10%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | +1 |