Northern Ireland U19 vs France U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.7%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
75.2%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.6%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.8%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2013 |
BEL
2 - 0
NIR
66%
20%
15%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2012 |
MDA
1 - 8
NIR
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
NIR
0 - 2
GRC
21%
22%
56%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
CZE
1 - 1
NIR
71%
18%
12%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
NIR
1 - 2
MNE
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
France U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2013 |
FRA
2 - 2
ISL
83%
12%
5%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
SRB
1 - 0
FRA
22%
23%
55%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2013 |
ESP
1 - 2
FRA
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2013 |
FRA
1 - 1
SRB
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2013 |
TUR
1 - 2
FRA
26%
24%
50%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |