Northern Ireland U17 vs San Marino U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
12.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
SVK
4 - 3
NIR
55%
22%
23%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
ESP
4 - 0
NIR
82%
13%
5%
|
38 | 66 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
NIR
1 - 2
ISR
33%
24%
43%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2015 |
NOR
1 - 1
NIR
51%
24%
25%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
FRA
1 - 0
NIR
77%
15%
8%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
San Marino U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
ESP
3 - 0
SMR
82%
14%
4%
|
15 | 66 | 51 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
SMR
0 - 4
SVK
14%
17%
69%
|
16 | 44 | 28 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ARM
1 - 1
SMR
71%
16%
13%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
SMR
0 - 5
POR
13%
19%
68%
|
16 | 57 | 41 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
ENG
8 - 0
SMR
85%
11%
4%
|
16 | 62 | 46 | 0 |