Northern Ireland U17 vs Lithuania U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
18.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2005 |
NIR
3 - 1
MLT
63%
19%
18%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2005 |
NIR
1 - 6
SRB
34%
23%
43%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2005 |
ENG
3 - 0
NIR
71%
17%
12%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
IRL
2 - 1
NIR
56%
22%
23%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2004 |
NIR
5 - 0
LIE
78%
14%
8%
|
42 | 6 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Lithuania U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2005 |
SRB
4 - 0
LTU
78%
14%
8%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2004 |
LTU
0 - 5
IRL
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
ISL
2 - 2
LTU
70%
17%
13%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2004 |
GER
4 - 0
LTU
77%
14%
9%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
ALB
2 - 3
LTU
65%
19%
17%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +2 |