Northern Ireland U17 vs Scotland U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
32.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
NIR
3 - 1
HUN
16%
22%
63%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
FRA
5 - 2
NIR
82%
12%
5%
|
32 | 65 | 33 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
ENG
5 - 1
NIR
86%
10%
4%
|
33 | 66 | 33 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
SMR
0 - 4
NIR
13%
16%
71%
|
33 | 8 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ITA
0 - 0
NIR
79%
15%
6%
|
32 | 62 | 30 | +1 |
Matches
Scotland U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
SCO
0 - 3
TUR
22%
23%
54%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
SCO
2 - 0
KAZ
56%
20%
24%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BLR
3 - 1
SCO
34%
24%
42%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
GER
3 - 0
SCO
91%
7%
2%
|
42 | 65 | 23 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
POR
2 - 1
SCO
80%
14%
6%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | 0 |