Iris Club de Croix vs Lens II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
58.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
7º
6º
16
3º
14º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 48 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 46 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 43 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 42 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 41 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
22 | 37 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 37 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 34 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 31 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 31 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 31 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 28 |
12º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 25 |
13º
|
33% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 21 |
14º
|
64.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2% | 10% |
|
Mid-table
|
86.5% | 90% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
5.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
6% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iris Club de Croix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
OCP
4 - 1
IRI
13%
19%
68%
|
34 | 6 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
IRI
3 - 0
DIE
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
IRI
0 - 1
FEI
20%
24%
56%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
IRI
4 - 0
MAR
58%
22%
20%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
VIM
3 - 1
IRI
39%
24%
38%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LEN
1 - 2
LIL
50%
24%
26%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
OLY
3 - 2
LEN
31%
24%
45%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LEN
4 - 0
FEI
37%
26%
38%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LEN
0 - 1
VAL
74%
17%
9%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 2
LEN
17%
19%
64%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |