Iravan vs Araz Saatli analysis


12	ELO	5
-0.4%	Tilt	-2.2%
13831º	General ELO ranking	15944º
30º	Country ELO ranking	32º
ELO win probability

72.9%

Iravan

15.2%

Draw

11.9%

Araz Saatli

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

72.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%

15.2%

Draw

0-0

2.3%

1-1

6.5%

2-2

4.7%

3-3

1.5%

4-4

0.3%

5-5

<0%

0

15.2%

11.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%