Iraty vs J. Malucelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
33.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iraty
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
COT
5 - 1
IRA
85%
11%
4%
|
49 | 83 | 34 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
IRA
1 - 2
ARA
43%
25%
33%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CIA
3 - 0
IRA
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
IRA
1 - 1
ACP
48%
24%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
IRA
1 - 1
OPE
40%
24%
36%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
JMA
1 - 0
LON
35%
25%
40%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
COT
2 - 0
JMA
85%
11%
4%
|
51 | 83 | 32 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
JMA
4 - 1
RIO
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
JMA
1 - 2
OPE
37%
25%
38%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
JMA
1 - 2
ROM
45%
25%
31%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |