Iraty vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
67.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iraty
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
ACP
1 - 0
IRA
45%
24%
31%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
IRA
1 - 1
LON
37%
24%
39%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
IRA
0 - 0
JMA
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
COT
5 - 1
IRA
85%
11%
4%
|
49 | 83 | 34 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
IRA
1 - 2
ARA
43%
25%
33%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
ATP
4 - 0
TCW
83%
13%
4%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CIA
2 - 2
ATP
17%
23%
60%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
ATP
4 - 0
ROM
79%
15%
6%
|
77 | 49 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
RIO
0 - 2
ATP
12%
20%
67%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
OPE
0 - 1
ATP
12%
19%
69%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |