Clausura Ascenso MX Final
Global 2-1
Irapuato vs Tijuana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
31.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2011 |
TIJ
1 - 1
IRA
49%
27%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
IRA
2 - 0
ATL
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 0
IRA
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
IRA
1 - 1
DOR
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2011 |
DOR
0 - 0
IRA
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2011 |
TIJ
1 - 1
IRA
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
LEO
0 - 2
TIJ
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
TIJ
1 - 0
LEO
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
TIJ
5 - 1
CAZ
48%
27%
24%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2011 |
CAZ
2 - 2
TIJ
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |