Irapuato vs Lobos ULMX analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
15%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
9.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
1º
3º
1º
5
5º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
9 | 29 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 22 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 19 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 19 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 17 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
4º
|
5 | 16 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
|
5º
|
5 | 16 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 15 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
1 | 15 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 14 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 9 |
11º
|
30.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 7 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
78.5% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
21.5% | 47% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 53% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CAN
1 - 2
IRA
8%
18%
74%
|
71 | 40 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
COL
0 - 1
IRA
7%
17%
77%
|
71 | 36 | 35 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
IRA
1 - 0
COR
79%
15%
6%
|
71 | 44 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
LEO
3 - 0
IRA
66%
19%
16%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
RVC
1 - 0
IRA
15%
23%
63%
|
71 | 42 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Lobos ULMX
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LUL
2 - 0
COL
51%
20%
28%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
COR
0 - 0
LUL
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
LUL
1 - 1
AGU
20%
21%
59%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
LUL
2 - 1
CAN
42%
24%
34%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
IPC
1 - 0
LUL
70%
19%
12%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | 0 |