Irapuato vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
TOR
2 - 1
IRA
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
IRA
2 - 1
VER
50%
26%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
IRA
0 - 0
UAT
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
PUM
1 - 0
IRA
34%
28%
39%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
IRA
2 - 1
UDG
65%
20%
14%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CAZ
0 - 0
PUM
45%
26%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
UDG
1 - 1
CAZ
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CAZ
2 - 3
LOB
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
CAZ
1 - 2
TOR
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
IND
2 - 1
CAZ
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |