Irapuato vs Celaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
AUR
1 - 0
IRA
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
IRA
0 - 0
DOR
26%
24%
50%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
IRA
0 - 2
ATL
28%
27%
45%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
LOB
1 - 0
IRA
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
MER
4 - 4
IRA
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 1
ALE
24%
26%
50%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2015 |
ALT
2 - 1
TOR
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 4
DOR
27%
26%
47%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
LOB
3 - 0
TOR
61%
22%
18%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 3
NEC
31%
27%
42%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |