Iraklis Thessaloniki vs PAOK B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
30.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
4º
12º
7º
30
1º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 36 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 36 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 35 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
|
6º
|
30 | 34 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
|
7º
|
29 | 33 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 33 |
8º
|
32.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 27 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 26 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 21 |
12º
|
35% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 12 |
13º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
20% | 34.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
80% | 65.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iraklis Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
LAR
1 - 0
IRA
64%
23%
13%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
IRA
1 - 1
ANA
60%
24%
17%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
MKN
0 - 0
IRA
22%
25%
53%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MAK
2 - 1
IRA
16%
20%
64%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
IRA
5 - 1
THE
80%
15%
5%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
PAOK B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
PTF
0 - 0
MYT
69%
18%
12%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PTF
1 - 0
AEK
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
PTF
2 - 3
KAM
68%
19%
14%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
PTF
4 - 0
APO
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
MKN
3 - 1
PTF
21%
24%
55%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |