Iraklis Thessaloniki vs Ethnikos Asteras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
10.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iraklis Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
PAN
3 - 0
IRA
70%
18%
13%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
IRA
3 - 1
PAO
35%
25%
41%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
AEK
3 - 2
IRA
71%
17%
12%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
IRA
4 - 1
TRI
75%
16%
9%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1999 |
AOK
3 - 1
IRA
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Ethnikos Asteras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
ETH
2 - 0
KAL
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1999 |
ETH
1 - 2
PAN
19%
25%
56%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
PAO
2 - 0
ETH
78%
14%
8%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
ETH
1 - 3
AEK
18%
24%
57%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
TRI
1 - 2
ETH
49%
24%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |