Iraklis Thessaloniki vs Aiolikos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
10.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
9º
6º
15
6º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 17 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 15 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
30 | 15 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 9 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
15 | 5 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iraklis Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
KAM
0 - 1
IRA
31%
28%
42%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
IRA
2 - 1
PTF
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
ANA
0 - 0
IRA
33%
28%
39%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
IRA
1 - 1
MAK
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
MYT
1 - 1
IRA
24%
27%
49%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Aiolikos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MYT
0 - 0
MAK
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MYT
0 - 1
ANA
38%
29%
33%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
KAM
0 - 1
MYT
56%
24%
20%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
PTF
2 - 1
MYT
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
MYT
1 - 1
IRA
24%
27%
49%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |