Europa League 1/64
Global 2-1
Ipswich Town vs Smederevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipswich Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
IPS
1 - 1
NOR
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
PNE
0 - 0
IPS
31%
25%
44%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2002 |
IPS
8 - 1
AVE
89%
9%
2%
|
79 | 46 | 33 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2002 |
IPS
1 - 2
BRA
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
MIL
1 - 1
IPS
29%
25%
46%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Smederevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
CRV
1 - 1
SME
58%
23%
20%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
SME
2 - 2
MOG
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2002 |
SME
2 - 0
BAN
52%
23%
25%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
SME
4 - 1
RAD
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
ZEL
1 - 2
SME
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |