Ipswich Town vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
7.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipswich Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
IPS
4 - 1
MIL
65%
21%
15%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2002 |
IPS
3 - 2
WAL
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2002 |
LEI
1 - 2
IPS
49%
25%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
OPA
1 - 1
IPS
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2002 |
IPS
4 - 2
WAT
67%
20%
13%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
SOU
2 - 3
MOR
39%
26%
35%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2002 |
HAL
1 - 0
MOR
35%
27%
38%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2002 |
MOR
3 - 0
SOU
59%
23%
17%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
MOR
1 - 0
KET
67%
20%
14%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2002 |
FOR
1 - 0
MOR
26%
26%
48%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |