Ipswich Town vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
74.1%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
13%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.2%
0-4
6%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
15º
19º
19º
41
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 91 |
1º
|
95.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 79 |
2º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 73 |
3º
|
52% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 67 |
4º
|
36.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 62 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 62 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 58 |
7º
|
29% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 55 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 52 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 51 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 51 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 50 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 49 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 48 |
14º
|
20.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 46 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 41 |
16º
|
35.5% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 34 |
17º
|
50% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 29 |
18º
|
40.5% | |
|
|
19º
|
16 | 28 |
19º
|
43% | |
|
20º
|
9 | 21 |
20º
|
82% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 93.5% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
9% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
91% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipswich Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
IPS
0 - 2
BHA
24%
23%
54%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
IPS
3 - 0
BRO
80%
14%
6%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
FUL
2 - 2
IPS
65%
21%
15%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2024 |
IPS
2 - 0
CHL
15%
20%
65%
|
83 | 94 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2024 |
ARS
1 - 0
IPS
83%
13%
5%
|
83 | 97 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
BRE
2 - 2
MAC
14%
19%
67%
|
98 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
MAC
8 - 0
SAL
92%
7%
2%
|
98 | 62 | 36 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
MAC
4 - 1
WHU
79%
14%
8%
|
98 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
LEI
0 - 2
MAC
9%
17%
74%
|
98 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
MAC
1 - 1
EVE
84%
11%
5%
|
98 | 89 | 9 | 0 |