EFL Cup 1/32
Global 5-3
Ipswich Town vs Fulham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipswich Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1996 |
IPS
2 - 1
CHA
59%
23%
19%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1996 |
FUL
1 - 1
IPS
40%
25%
36%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
SHE
1 - 3
IPS
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1996 |
CRY
0 - 0
IPS
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
IPS
1 - 3
HUR
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
FUL
1 - 2
MAN
62%
21%
16%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1996 |
FUL
1 - 1
IPS
40%
25%
36%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
SWA
1 - 2
FUL
42%
28%
30%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1996 |
EXE
0 - 1
FUL
39%
28%
33%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
FUL
3 - 1
COL
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +2 |