EFL Cup 1/64
Global 6-2
Ipswich Town vs Exeter City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
14%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
6.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipswich Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1998 |
IPS
0 - 0
BCF
80%
14%
6%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1998 |
EXE
1 - 1
IPS
21%
25%
54%
|
74 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1998 |
GRI
0 - 0
IPS
28%
28%
44%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1998 |
IPS
3 - 2
CRE
79%
14%
7%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1998 |
IPS
2 - 0
SUN
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1998 |
EXE
1 - 0
SCA
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1998 |
EXE
1 - 1
IPS
21%
25%
54%
|
46 | 74 | 28 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
SWA
2 - 0
EXE
50%
27%
24%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1998 |
EXE
1 - 3
MAC
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1998 |
LIN
2 - 1
EXE
60%
23%
18%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |