Ipswich Town vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
23.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipswich Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1976 |
IPS
4 - 0
WHU
64%
20%
16%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1976 |
ARS
1 - 2
IPS
43%
28%
29%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1976 |
BIR
3 - 0
IPS
43%
26%
31%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1976 |
IPS
3 - 0
MUD
53%
24%
23%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1976 |
IPS
2 - 1
MAC
56%
24%
20%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1976 |
DER
1 - 3
EVE
73%
17%
11%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1976 |
ASV
1 - 0
DER
29%
27%
43%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1976 |
DER
2 - 2
LEI
75%
16%
9%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1976 |
MAC
4 - 3
DER
50%
25%
25%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1976 |
MUD
2 - 0
DER
51%
25%
24%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |