Ipswich Town vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
64.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
15º
19º
19º
43
2º
17º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 91 |
1º
|
95.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 79 |
2º
|
70.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 73 |
3º
|
52% | |
|
|
4º
|
43 | 67 |
4º
|
36.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 62 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 62 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 58 |
7º
|
29% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 55 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 52 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 51 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 51 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 50 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 49 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 48 |
14º
|
20.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 46 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 41 |
16º
|
35.5% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 34 |
17º
|
50% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 29 |
18º
|
40.5% | |
|
|
19º
|
16 | 28 |
19º
|
43% | |
|
20º
|
9 | 21 |
20º
|
82% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 55% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 26% |
|
Mid-table
|
9% | 19% |
|
Relegation
|
91% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipswich Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2024 |
ARS
1 - 0
IPS
83%
13%
5%
|
82 | 97 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
IPS
0 - 4
NEW
18%
21%
61%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
WOL
1 - 2
IPS
56%
24%
21%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
IPS
1 - 2
BOU
29%
24%
47%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2024 |
IPS
0 - 1
CRY
30%
25%
45%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
CHL
1 - 2
FUL
69%
19%
13%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
EVE
0 - 0
CHL
17%
22%
62%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2024 |
CHL
5 - 1
SHR
86%
10%
3%
|
94 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
CHL
2 - 1
BRE
66%
20%
14%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2024 |
AST
1 - 3
CHL
10%
17%
74%
|
95 | 76 | 19 | -1 |