Ipswich Town vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipswich Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
BRA
0 - 1
IPS
26%
25%
50%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
IPS
2 - 1
ROT
72%
17%
11%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2003 |
SUN
3 - 2
IPS
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
WAT
1 - 2
IPS
31%
26%
43%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2003 |
NOT
2 - 1
IPS
22%
24%
54%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
BUR
3 - 1
WAL
59%
22%
20%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2003 |
WAT
1 - 1
BUR
46%
25%
30%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
WIM
2 - 2
BUR
49%
24%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2003 |
SCU
2 - 3
BUR
40%
25%
35%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
BUR
4 - 0
BRA
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |