Ipswich Town vs Brighton & Hove Albion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
53.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
15º
19º
19º
34
1º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 91 |
1º
|
95.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 79 |
2º
|
70.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 73 |
3º
|
52% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 67 |
4º
|
36.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 62 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 62 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 58 |
7º
|
29% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 55 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 52 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 51 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 51 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 50 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 49 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 48 |
14º
|
20.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 46 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 41 |
16º
|
35.5% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 34 |
17º
|
50% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 29 |
18º
|
40.5% | |
|
|
19º
|
16 | 28 |
19º
|
43% | |
|
20º
|
9 | 21 |
20º
|
82% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
9% | 97% |
|
Relegation
|
91% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipswich Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
IPS
3 - 0
BRO
80%
14%
6%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
FUL
2 - 2
IPS
65%
21%
15%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2024 |
IPS
2 - 0
CHL
15%
20%
65%
|
83 | 94 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2024 |
ARS
1 - 0
IPS
83%
13%
5%
|
83 | 97 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
IPS
0 - 4
NEW
18%
21%
61%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
NOR
0 - 4
BHA
19%
21%
59%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
BHA
1 - 1
ARS
20%
23%
57%
|
90 | 97 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2024 |
ASV
2 - 2
BHA
47%
24%
29%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2024 |
BHA
0 - 0
BRE
51%
24%
26%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
WHU
1 - 1
BHA
42%
24%
34%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |