Europa League Final
Global 5-4
Ipswich Town vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
22.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipswich Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1981 |
MID
2 - 1
IPS
29%
28%
43%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1981 |
IPS
1 - 0
MAC
68%
19%
13%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1981 |
KOL
0 - 1
IPS
49%
24%
27%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1981 |
NOR
1 - 0
IPS
31%
26%
43%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1981 |
IPS
0 - 2
ARS
63%
21%
16%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1981 |
FEY
1 - 5
AZA
50%
23%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1981 |
AZA
0 - 0
TWE
61%
21%
18%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1981 |
AZA
3 - 2
SOC
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1981 |
MVV
1 - 3
AZA
18%
23%
59%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1981 |
AZA
0 - 1
AJA
54%
22%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |