Ipswich Town vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipswich Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1975 |
MAC
1 - 1
IPS
51%
25%
24%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1975 |
IPS
3 - 0
BRU
56%
23%
22%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1975 |
IPS
1 - 1
LEI
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1975 |
STO
0 - 1
IPS
56%
24%
21%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1975 |
DER
1 - 0
IPS
61%
22%
18%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1975 |
ASV
1 - 1
BUR
38%
26%
35%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1975 |
EVE
2 - 1
ASV
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1975 |
ASV
1 - 1
TOT
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1975 |
MID
0 - 0
ASV
58%
24%
19%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
ASV
0 - 1
ANT
51%
23%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |