Europa League Semi-finals
Global 2-0
Ipswich Town vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipswich Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1981 |
WBA
3 - 1
IPS
40%
27%
34%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1981 |
LEE
3 - 0
IPS
30%
27%
43%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1981 |
IPS
4 - 1
SUN
77%
15%
8%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1981 |
MUD
2 - 1
IPS
36%
27%
37%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1981 |
IPS
3 - 1
ASS
64%
22%
14%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1981 |
KSC
1 - 1
KOL
36%
25%
39%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1981 |
KOL
2 - 2
KAI
55%
22%
23%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1981 |
FCN
2 - 1
KOL
32%
25%
43%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1981 |
KOL
3 - 2
SDL
55%
23%
23%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1981 |
KOL
1 - 0
MSV
75%
15%
10%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | +1 |