Iporá vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.9%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
77.8%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.6%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iporá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
IPO
2 - 1
RIO
22%
24%
54%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
APA
1 - 0
IPO
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
IPO
0 - 2
ANA
28%
26%
47%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
ATL
0 - 0
IPO
85%
11%
4%
|
43 | 70 | 27 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
IPO
1 - 1
GOI
47%
26%
28%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 1
APA
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
GOI
5 - 1
VIL
11%
19%
71%
|
63 | 37 | 26 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 1
RIO
67%
19%
14%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 2
VAS
22%
24%
54%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
ANA
0 - 1
VIL
13%
20%
67%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |