Iporá vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
54.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iporá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
IPO
0 - 1
ATL
5%
12%
83%
|
42 | 70 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
GOI
1 - 1
IPO
28%
24%
49%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 0
IPO
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
IPO
0 - 0
RIO
23%
24%
54%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 1
IPO
17%
19%
64%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
ITU
1 - 1
APA
43%
27%
31%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
APA
2 - 2
GOI
11%
18%
71%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
CEI
2 - 1
APA
38%
28%
34%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
APA
0 - 0
CEI
51%
26%
23%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
APA
3 - 2
AAC
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |