Ipitanga vs Itabuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
31.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipitanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
COL
2 - 0
IPI
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
IPI
1 - 2
VIT
32%
24%
45%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
COL
1 - 1
IPI
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
IPI
3 - 2
MDE
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
VIT
4 - 0
IPI
85%
11%
5%
|
41 | 74 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ITA
0 - 0
MDE
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
ITA
0 - 2
ALA
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
VIT
1 - 0
ITA
83%
12%
6%
|
43 | 73 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
ITA
1 - 2
COL
51%
25%
25%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
BAH
2 - 0
ITA
55%
23%
23%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |