Ipatinga FC vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
53.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipatinga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
ARN
1 - 0
IFC
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
IFC
1 - 0
ATL
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2009 |
GUA
3 - 1
IFC
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
SAO
0 - 0
IFC
53%
26%
22%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
IFC
0 - 0
CEA
40%
27%
34%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
VAS
0 - 1
POR
66%
21%
14%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
VAS
2 - 1
ARN
76%
16%
8%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
CAM
0 - 1
VAS
14%
22%
64%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
VAS
2 - 1
JUV
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 1
VAS
22%
24%
53%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | -1 |