Ipatinga FC vs Tupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipatinga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
IFC
4 - 0
USC
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 2
IFC
36%
25%
39%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
IFC
0 - 2
AME
67%
19%
14%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
CAL
2 - 0
IFC
23%
25%
52%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
IFC
2 - 2
ATM
19%
22%
59%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
TUP
0 - 1
AMF
27%
26%
47%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
FUN
1 - 0
TUP
26%
25%
49%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 2
TUP
40%
25%
35%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
TUP
1 - 2
CAL
58%
22%
21%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
TUP
0 - 0
CRZ
11%
21%
68%
|
53 | 86 | 33 | +1 |