Ipatinga FC vs Patrocinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
24.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipatinga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
PAT
0 - 3
IFC
33%
24%
43%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
IFC
4 - 3
DEM
39%
24%
37%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ATM
3 - 0
IFC
94%
5%
1%
|
52 | 89 | 37 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
IFC
2 - 0
DEM
36%
24%
40%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
IFC
0 - 1
UBE
53%
23%
24%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Patrocinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
PAT
0 - 3
IFC
33%
24%
43%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
DEM
1 - 0
PAT
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
PAT
0 - 1
POA
43%
27%
31%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
IFC
2 - 2
PAT
21%
23%
56%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
TOM
4 - 0
PAT
76%
16%
8%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | -1 |