Ipatinga FC vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipatinga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
DUQ
3 - 1
IFC
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
IFC
2 - 1
ABC
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 0
IFC
48%
25%
28%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
IFC
0 - 0
BAH
58%
22%
19%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
POR
0 - 1
IFC
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
PAR
2 - 1
ATL
35%
26%
39%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
PAR
0 - 2
POR
31%
28%
42%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
BRA
0 - 1
PAR
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
PAR
0 - 4
FFL
26%
26%
48%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
CEA
0 - 1
PAR
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |