Ipatinga FC vs Brasiliense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
29%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipatinga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2009 |
PAR
2 - 0
IFC
38%
29%
34%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
IFC
1 - 0
DUQ
74%
17%
9%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
ABC
1 - 1
IFC
33%
28%
39%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2009 |
IFC
0 - 1
FOR
60%
23%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
BAH
1 - 1
IFC
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2009 |
BRA
0 - 1
CEA
61%
22%
16%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 1
BRA
23%
27%
50%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2009 |
BRA
1 - 1
DUQ
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
PAR
0 - 2
BRA
33%
27%
40%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2009 |
POR
0 - 1
BRA
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |