Ipatinga FC vs América TO analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.2%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipatinga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
DEM
1 - 4
IFC
25%
24%
50%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
IFC
3 - 2
AMF
59%
23%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2010 |
IFC
2 - 1
UBE
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
ATM
1 - 1
IFC
72%
18%
10%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
IFC
3 - 0
CRZ
17%
22%
61%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | +2 |
Matches
América TO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
USC
3 - 2
AME
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
DEM
2 - 1
AME
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
AME
0 - 0
AMF
25%
25%
50%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
AME
0 - 0
BOA
24%
24%
52%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
VIL
1 - 1
AME
65%
19%
16%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |