Ipatinga FC vs América Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.3%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.7%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
77%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
15.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
11.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.6%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipatinga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
ATH
2 - 1
IFC
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ATH
2 - 0
IFC
41%
24%
36%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
IFC
2 - 1
PAT
67%
19%
13%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
IFC
1 - 1
POA
42%
25%
34%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
3 - 2
IFC
32%
22%
46%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
AMF
6 - 0
POA
93%
6%
1%
|
86 | 54 | 32 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
GOI
1 - 0
AMF
39%
26%
35%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
AMF
3 - 2
BAH
52%
24%
24%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
PAL
4 - 0
AMF
62%
21%
17%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
AMF
0 - 3
FLA
31%
25%
44%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |