Ipanema vs Sete de Setembro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
17.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipanema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
ASA
1 - 0
IPA
72%
18%
11%
|
36 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
IPA
1 - 3
MUR
36%
27%
37%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
CSA
4 - 0
IPA
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
IPA
1 - 2
ASA
13%
22%
65%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
IPA
1 - 0
SAN
24%
24%
52%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Sete de Setembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
SSS
0 - 2
SAN
14%
20%
66%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CRB
2 - 1
SSS
86%
11%
4%
|
27 | 64 | 37 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
SSS
3 - 1
COR
12%
20%
68%
|
20 | 48 | 28 | +7 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
SSS
79%
14%
7%
|
20 | 47 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2014 |
BEL
3 - 0
SSS
73%
17%
10%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |