Ipanema vs Penedense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
44.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipanema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2006 |
CSA
5 - 0
IPA
76%
16%
8%
|
27 | 59 | 32 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2006 |
IPA
2 - 3
CSE
37%
25%
39%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
ASA
1 - 0
IPA
63%
19%
17%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
IPA
0 - 1
CRB
16%
20%
64%
|
28 | 59 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2006 |
BJE
0 - 2
IPA
60%
20%
20%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Penedense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2006 |
PEN
0 - 0
MUR
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2006 |
BJE
2 - 3
PEN
31%
24%
46%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
PEN
0 - 1
COR
41%
24%
35%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
CSA
2 - 0
PEN
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2006 |
CRB
2 - 0
PEN
69%
19%
13%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |