Ipanema vs Murici analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
37.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipanema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
CSA
4 - 0
IPA
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
IPA
1 - 2
ASA
13%
22%
65%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
IPA
1 - 0
SAN
24%
24%
52%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ASA
2 - 0
IPA
75%
16%
9%
|
36 | 58 | 22 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
IPA
1 - 0
CRB
16%
24%
60%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | +2 |
Matches
Murici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 1
SAN
33%
25%
43%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CRB
5 - 1
MUR
75%
17%
9%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
CEO
0 - 1
MUR
41%
27%
32%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
COR
1 - 0
MUR
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 3
CSA
44%
28%
27%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -2 |