Ipanema vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
45.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipanema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 2
IPA
65%
20%
15%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
IPA
1 - 0
CSE
20%
25%
55%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | +4 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
MUR
2 - 0
IPA
60%
22%
18%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CEO
4 - 0
IPA
54%
22%
24%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
IPA
1 - 1
ASA
15%
22%
63%
|
30 | 58 | 28 | +1 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
CSA
1 - 1
ASA
34%
25%
41%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CSA
1 - 1
CEO
72%
17%
11%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
CSE
0 - 1
CSA
50%
26%
25%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 1
CSA
44%
28%
28%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
CSA
3 - 2
SAN
54%
22%
24%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |