Ipanema vs CSE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
55.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipanema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
MUR
2 - 0
IPA
60%
22%
18%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CEO
4 - 0
IPA
54%
22%
24%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
IPA
1 - 1
ASA
15%
22%
63%
|
29 | 57 | 28 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
COR
3 - 0
IPA
67%
18%
15%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
IPA
1 - 2
CRB
24%
24%
53%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
CSE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
CSE
0 - 1
CSA
50%
26%
25%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ASA
0 - 0
CSE
71%
18%
12%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
CSE
5 - 2
MUR
40%
26%
34%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
CSE
4 - 1
PEN
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
MUR
2 - 0
CSE
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |