Ipanema vs ASA Arapiraquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
64.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipanema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
IPA
1 - 0
SAN
24%
24%
52%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ASA
2 - 0
IPA
75%
16%
9%
|
36 | 58 | 22 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
IPA
1 - 0
CRB
16%
24%
60%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CSE
2 - 0
IPA
57%
22%
22%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
IPA
2 - 1
MUR
28%
27%
45%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
ASA
1 - 2
TUP
54%
26%
20%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
TUP
2 - 0
ASA
30%
27%
43%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
ASA
1 - 0
VIL
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ICA
1 - 3
ASA
27%
26%
47%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ASA
1 - 0
SAL
56%
25%
20%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |