Inverurie Loco Works vs Turriff United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
11.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
4º
9º
7º
33
7º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 90 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
2º
|
86 | 86 |
2º
|
78.5% | |
|
3º
|
77 | 80 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
71 | 74 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
5º
|
68 | 71 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
67.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
48.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
33 | 34 |
13º
|
67.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
58.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 26 |
16º
|
42% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
80.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inverurie Loco Works
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
HUN
1 - 1
INV
23%
21%
57%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
INV
2 - 1
NAI
53%
21%
27%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
BRE
5 - 1
INV
85%
10%
4%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
INV
4 - 0
STR
89%
8%
3%
|
36 | 12 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
LOS
1 - 0
INV
14%
17%
69%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Turriff United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
TUR
3 - 1
ROT
14%
18%
68%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
TUR
5 - 0
STR
85%
10%
5%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 1
TUR
89%
8%
3%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
LOS
2 - 2
TUR
50%
21%
29%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
TUR
0 - 4
BRO
4%
9%
87%
|
23 | 50 | 27 | -2 |