Inverurie Loco Works vs Keith analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.7%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.6%
5.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
4º
9º
7º
27
10º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 90 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
2º
|
86 | 86 |
2º
|
78.5% | |
|
3º
|
77 | 80 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
71 | 74 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
5º
|
68 | 71 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
67.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
48.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 34 |
13º
|
67.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
58.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 26 |
16º
|
42% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
80.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inverurie Loco Works
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BRO
5 - 2
INV
72%
17%
12%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
INV
3 - 2
LOS
84%
11%
6%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
INV
0 - 0
HUN
80%
12%
8%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
WIC
1 - 2
INV
18%
20%
62%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
NAI
2 - 2
INV
18%
20%
62%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
KEI
1 - 5
BUC
5%
11%
85%
|
23 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
KEI
1 - 1
NAI
41%
22%
37%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ROT
3 - 0
KEI
78%
13%
9%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BRE
5 - 0
KEI
89%
9%
2%
|
24 | 54 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
KEI
6 - 1
STR
78%
13%
9%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |