Inveruno vs Varesina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
9.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inveruno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
FOL
0 - 0
INV
37%
24%
39%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 2
INV
50%
22%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
INV
1 - 0
OLG
59%
22%
19%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ASD
0 - 2
INV
36%
22%
42%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
INV
1 - 1
GOZ
18%
25%
57%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Varesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
VAR
3 - 1
CAS
30%
24%
46%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
VAR
0 - 1
CHI
15%
20%
65%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
BOR
2 - 1
VAR
49%
23%
28%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
VAR
0 - 1
SER
43%
24%
33%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 2
VAR
21%
23%
56%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |