Inveruno vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
18.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inveruno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
VAR
1 - 1
INV
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
INV
0 - 3
CHI
27%
25%
48%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -2 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
BOR
1 - 0
INV
17%
18%
65%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
INV
1 - 1
SER
66%
19%
15%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 3
INV
9%
14%
76%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 2
ASD
48%
24%
28%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 1
BOR
57%
22%
22%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
VAR
1 - 2
CAS
81%
13%
6%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 1
CAS
77%
15%
8%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
CHI
2 - 2
CAS
73%
17%
10%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |