Inveruno vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
15.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inveruno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
UNI
3 - 4
INV
73%
17%
10%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
INV
5 - 2
PIN
80%
13%
8%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
SET
0 - 0
INV
13%
20%
68%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
INV
6 - 1
VOG
72%
17%
11%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 4
INV
61%
22%
18%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 1
VAR
11%
23%
66%
|
31 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CUN
1 - 0
CAS
70%
20%
11%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 0
BOR
37%
27%
36%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
BUS
3 - 3
CAS
41%
23%
36%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 2
FOL
46%
27%
28%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -2 |