Inveruno vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
29.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inveruno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
BOR
1 - 0
INV
32%
24%
43%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
INV
0 - 0
CAR
30%
27%
43%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
DER
1 - 3
INV
13%
20%
68%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
INV
0 - 1
ARC
70%
17%
14%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
COM
2 - 1
INV
70%
19%
12%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
PAV
1 - 0
ASD
68%
17%
15%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 1
PAV
22%
24%
54%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
PAV
0 - 0
CHI
26%
24%
49%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
BOR
2 - 2
PAV
25%
21%
54%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
PAV
3 - 0
SER
70%
18%
13%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |